We all know that nayf is awesome. But what we perhaps didn’t know is just how awesome he is. I’ve managed to prove that, actually, he’s the most important person who has ever lived.

Nayf claims that every time (well, it’s happened three times out of three so far) he steps out of a bus shelter, the rain slows or stops completely. He also claims this is a significant occurrence. Fortunately for us, there are methods we can use to determine if this is significant. We’re going to use a test called the chi-squared test: it allows us to test observed results against a null-hypothesis and see if they differ significantly. In this case, our null-hypothesis would be that a person stepping in or out of a bus shelter should have no discernable affect on the weather whatsoever. So, with that in mind, we can construct the following table:

To perform a chi-squared test, we compare the value of the sum of all ((O-E)²)/E with values in the chi-squared table with appropriate degrees of freedom – in this case, we have one degree of freedom. For it to have a probability of 5% we would expect a value of 3.84. For it to have a probability of 1%, we would expect a value of 6.64. We have a value of ∞+3, which isn’t actually on the table, but extrapolating I think it’s reasonable to assume that the probability of this result occurring randomly is pretty low. Infinitely low, in fact. More than infinitely low – because our value is ∞+3.

So, this make the result more than infinitely significant – which, of course, means that Nayf himself must also be more than infinitely significant – and thus, the most important person who has ever lived, ever. All hail Nayf!

This entry was posted on Monday, October 24th, 2005 at 2:39 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.